A compartmental model for COVID-19 to assess effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions with emphasis on contact-based quarantine
Relative to the number of casualties, COVID-19 ranks among the ten most devastating plagues in history. The pandemic hit the South Asian nation of Bangladesh in early March 2020 and has greatly impacted the socio-economic status of the country. In this article, we propose a compartmental model for C...
Elmentve itt :
| Szerzők: | |
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| Dokumentumtípus: | Cikk |
| Megjelent: |
2023
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| Sorozat: | STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI MATHEMATICA
68 No. 3 |
| Tárgyszavak: | |
| doi: | 10.24193/subbmath.2023.3.15 |
| mtmt: | 34289023 |
| Online Access: | http://publicatio.bibl.u-szeged.hu/29628 |
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| 245 | 1 | 2 | |a A compartmental model for COVID-19 to assess effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions with emphasis on contact-based quarantine |h [elektronikus dokumentum] / |c Barua Saumen |
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| 490 | 0 | |a STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI MATHEMATICA |v 68 No. 3 | |
| 520 | 3 | |a Relative to the number of casualties, COVID-19 ranks among the ten most devastating plagues in history. The pandemic hit the South Asian nation of Bangladesh in early March 2020 and has greatly impacted the socio-economic status of the country. In this article, we propose a compartmental model for COVID-19 dynamics, introducing a separate class for quarantined susceptibles, synonymous to isolation of individuals who have been exposed and are suspected of being infected. The current model assumes a perfect quarantine based on contact with infectious individuals. Numerical simulation is conducted to investigate the efficiency of disease control by segregating suspected individuals and other non-pharmaceutical interventions. In addition, we assort quantitatively the importance of parameters that influence the dynamics of the system. Fitting the system to the early phase of COVID-19 outbreaks in Bangladesh, by taking into account the cumulative number of cases with the data of the first 17-week period, the basic reproduction number is estimated as 1.69. | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Matematika | |
| 700 | 0 | 1 | |a Das Bornali |e aut |
| 700 | 0 | 1 | |a Dénes Attila |e aut |
| 856 | 4 | 0 | |u http://publicatio.bibl.u-szeged.hu/29628/1/1697-5631-1-PB.pdf |z Dokumentum-elérés |